Rethinking AI + Productivity and Optimizing for the Right Variables

Gather ‘round children, it’s Uncle Leno’s story time. Once upon a time my company landed a very big important client-a “lighthouse client”. Upon closing the deal, the client told me: “We need this live in six weeks. After that, our entire IT department goes into lockdown to prepare for the holiday season.” “No problem”, I said, when in fact, there was un problema grande. You see, right at that very moment we had all hands on deck working on an even BIGGER client!

Working backwards from the six-week deadline, I worked out a project plan, and when I got to the start date, I realized that I had two days to design the entire site, get feedback, make edits, and get final design approval from all of the client’s stakeholders.

Hey, have I ever told you about the time I designed an entire retail website in 13 hours, by myself, in the dark, digitally freehand tracing icons and logos because the client couldn’t provide me with the creative assets? 😊

We launched on-time and the client was very grateful. But that’s not the happy ending. Roughly one year later, we received an email from the client. It was an email with a whole bunch of numbers and calculations which blew my mind. They client had told us, that our website was not only driving additional traffic, but conversions, to the tune of an incremental $600k per month during the holiday period. I saved that email, because 1. I like to drive my former co-workers insane by telling the story about the time I designed a website in 13 hours and 2. Because we did great work, and in doing so we delivered tremendous value for our client. The End. I told you that story to tell you this one.

The other day, through the magic of large language models and generative AI, I was able to crank out a four page document in a fraction of the time it might have taken me back in the 20th century. That’s all-in, including fact checking everything and even citations. It was good. In fact, it was good enough to get us a demo with the client. But, I say the following with sincere thoughts and a pure heart: it was good enough, but it could have been a lot better. I know this, because great work requires time, patience, and maybe a little bit of suffering. Kinda like cooking a good meal vs nuking pizza in the microwave. Now, just about every person who’s ever given me a performance review has told me “Don’t let the great be the enemy of the good”. Blah blah blah. (Apparently, I’m also bad at taking constructive criticism) Yes, AI has enabled me to be way more productive while yielding good (acceptable results). What’s the problem? If I use the AI button to do more and more of my work, and people keep giving me a banana, then I start to optimize for THOSE variables, and I think that’s a slippery slope. See what I did there? Slippery? Banana? Mario Kart? Am I on mute?

Here’s an example: I recently saw a screenshot of a tweet from one of the OG titans of the tech industry that read something to the effect of “AI has allowed my coders to crank out 12,000 lines of code per day! RAWR!” I’m paraphrasing 😂. Pardon my French, but what the fuck does that even mean? Is that really something to be proud of? Lines of code per minute? Congratulations! You closed out four tasks, two stories, and one skillion sprint points in 24 hours?

Can we deploy to prod now? Does it meet all of the requirements from the Product Manager and UI/UX/CX designers? How will the code perform under load testing? Or should I go to tell the CFO that our cloud bill is going to double next month? Is it secure? Is general counsel going to get a phone call from the California state attorney general because the website isn’t WCAG 2.1 AA compliant? Or shall we all sit around and sniff our own farts and be proud because of how much code was produced using AI?

Knock on wood if you’re with me.

I’m not suggesting we go back to using quill pens and punch cards. I like by GPT buddy…and I think she kinda like-likes me too 😉 But before hitting send, you gotta ask yourself, is this good or is it just good enough? Did I think it through? Are there any errors? Did I make reasonable assumptions about the future political and economic landscape? Can I validate how I came up with my estimates? Am I delivering value to my clients and stakeholders? Or I’m I just checking a box so people will stop scheduling meetings that should have been an email. Btw, those things don’t have to be mutually exclusive.

Sometimes, not all the time, and perhaps not even often, things should be hard. In my experience, it’s only when you’re banging your head on the wall trying to solve problems, that you become better at your craft and become a better version of yourself.

If we allow the easy button to replace all critical thinking and creativity, then we start to optimize for the wrong variables. And then we’re all going to be listening to endless derivatives of Machine Gun Kelly, Jelly Face, Sabrina and The Carpenters music produced by the DJ Khalid AI Agent, while sitting in bumper to bumper traffic because the US Department of Transportation had to issue a full stop to the entire autonomous vehicle network because the lead developer FORGOT to prompt the AI with “I need you to act like the kind of developer who delivers great work for their clients, so make sure to use the latest network encryption protocols and make sure there aren’t any backdoors that the KGB might be able to exploit. Know what I mean Vern?” To that end…

If anyone needs me I’ll be test driving a giant 2016 5.7L V8 Toyota Tundra later. Why, you may ask? Probably because I’m having an existential mid-life crisis. But also because Toyota used to over-engineer the crap out of their trucks, and although it doesn’t get great gas mileage, or have a fancy infotainment system, or car play, or lane departure sensors (let alone LiDAR sensors) AND I have to use a physical key to start the engine; I know that it will start when I need it to. It’s built like a tank, I can get parts from Advanced O’Reilly Zone, and it will run to at least 300k miles and probably more. And that to me is optimizing for the right variables.

Then again, maybe I’m just an old man yelling at the sky.

P.S. – No AI was used in this incoherent rant.

A Scientific(-ish) Response to the Surgeon General’s Advisory on Alcohol

While the Surgeon General has chosen to focus on the “medical evidence,” let’s examine alcohol’s well-documented benefits:

Enhanced Problem-Solving Skills:

Thanks to alcohol, countless individuals have discovered they can absolutely climb up to their balcony when locked out of their apartment. The success rate is a remarkable 2%, but that’s 2% higher than their sober attempts.

Advanced Physics Mastery:

Only after several drinks do people truly understand gravitational forces, specifically through hands-on experiments like “Why Is The Room Spinning?” and “The Floor Is Much Closer Than Previously Calculated.”

Improved Social Skills:

Alcohol transforms ordinary people into charismatic orators who can eloquently express deep thoughts like “I love you, man” to complete strangers and engage in sophisticated debates about why dogs should be allowed to vote.

Spiritual Growth:

No other substance has inspired more heartfelt prayers, usually beginning with “Oh God” and ending with “I swear I’ll never drink again.” The sincerity peaks around 3 AM while hugging the porcelain altar.

Athletic Enhancement:

After a few drinks, everyone becomes a professional athlete. The laws of physics simply don’t apply to your golf swing anymore.

Investment Skills:

Nothing boosts financial confidence quite like alcohol. Suddenly, buying cryptocurrency at 2 AM seems like a brilliant retirement strategy, and everyone becomes a qualified financial advisor: “You HAVE to get in on this, bro!”

Enhanced Musical Talent:

Alcohol transforms anyone into opera virtuosos. Karaoke studies show that after four drinks, everyone can perfectly hit the high notes in “Don’t Stop Believin'”. The audience’s tears are clearly from being moved, not pain.

Time Management Skills:

Only the well-lubricated mind truly understands that 2 AM is the perfect time to start a home renovation project, text all your exes, or learn to juggle. These activities simply cannot wait until morning.

Memory Optimization:

Alcohol helpfully erases unnecessary memories, like that time you tried to fight a police officer in the parking lot outside the station.

Culinary Expertise:

Late-night chefs know that alcohol unleashes unprecedented creativity in the kitchen. Suddenly, pickles dipped in peanut butter wrapped in a pizza isn’t just edible – it’s a flavor revolution that the world isn’t ready for.

Professional Development:

Nothing builds workplace camaraderie quite like the office holiday party, where you can finally tell your boss what you really think about their management style. The next day’s awkward silence is just everyone processing your brilliant insights.

Advanced Mathematics:

Alcohol makes you exceptionally good at calculating tips – as evidenced by that time you left a 200% tip because “I think she likes me, you know?” It’s not poor math skills; it’s generosity unlocked by liquid courage.

I think you hear me knocking, and I think I’m coming in. OPEN UP!!! I’M DRUNK AND I LOST MY KEYS!!”

Chat UI – It’s like living in the future

ChatUI : Chatbots :: Transformers : GoBots

If you get the above reference, we can be friends.

ICYMI, Google released an updated version of Bard, which includes extensions (plugins) to Google Workspace, YouTube, Google Hotels & Flights, etc.

BARD Extensions

In the immortal words of Joe Biden, this is a BFD. It’s not just a big deal for Google; it’s a BFD for the future of interactions with Software and retrieving information. Product Managers, please pay attention.

Traditional information retrieval systems rely on structured data, where users must be precise (sometimes exact) with their search terms, tags, folders, etc. The only way to find the information you’re looking for is to input the predefined pathways to that information – the correct combination of folders, tags, filters, etc. This approach places an enormous burden on users to remember or anticipate the right pathway/inputs, leading to inefficiencies and frustration.

Have you ever endlessly searched for an email? Of course, you have. We all have. What if you could just ask BARD to track down an email for you? In the example below, I’ve asked Bard to locate the most recent receipts that I received.

BARD tracks down my recent receipts in my inbox.

Great, but I’m looking for a specific receipt, so I asked Bard only to show me receipts over $30.

Found it. Boom goes the dynamite.

ChatUI fundamentally changes how developers and designers must think about Software and User Interaction. Chat is the ultimate input device. It allows us to bend Software to our will without searching, memorizing formulas, shortcuts, or menu dropdowns. Our personal devices and software services will truly become our second brain. We’ll just chat with the computer and tell it to do what we need it to do. Imagine generating charts and pivot tables as quickly and easily as ordering from Chipotle. Burrito, White Rice, Black Beans, Chicken, Verde Salsa, Sour Cream, and lettuce with a side of guac and chips – in case you’re wondering.

I’m a nerd, but very excited about BARD’s new extensions and what’s to come. My prediction is that this fall, the Google Empire Strikes Back.

P.S. – I don’t want to tell Larry Page and Sergey Brin how to do their jobs, but y’all need a commercial to announce the release of these new features. How about this:

🎵 Upbeat 80s synthesizer music, transitioning into a catchy jingle. 🎵

“Drowning in your digital mail? Lost in your own inbox? Well, the future is HERE, and it’s RADICAL! Introducing… the NEW GMAIL 3000!”

“Lost that super important mail from Aunt Patty about her cat? No worries! With our bodacious SEMANTIC SEARCH, just type in ‘@GMAIL show me emails with images of Aunt Patty’s cat,’ and boom! There it is!”

“And hey, filters schmilters! With our new CHAT UI, just say the word, and GMAIL 3000 is on it. It’s like having a chat with your own futuristic robot!”

[Cut to a group of teenagers giving a thumbs up.]

Teen #1: “No more missing out on party invites for me!” 

Teen #2: “GMAIL 3000 is totally tubular!” 

Teen #3: “AI WHAT? I just know it’s wicked cool!”

🎤 “So say goodbye to the boring, old email blues and HELLO to the neon-lit, electric future with GMAIL 3000!”

🎵 The upbeat synthesizer jingle fades back in. 🎵

“GMAIL 3000! It’s like living in the future!”

Choose Wisely

According to Bloomberg economics, Taylor Swift’s Eras Tour, Beyoncé’s Renaissance tour, and “Barbenheimer” are expected to add ~$8.5B of growth to the US GDP in Q3. By comparison, for the quarter ending July 31, Nvidia (NVDA) earned an adjusted $2.70 per share on $13.51B in revenue. But honestly, which would you rather have, two free tickets to Taylor Swift & Beyoncé OR two free NVIDIA H100 GPUs?

AI and Happiness

If you have time to kill, I highly recommend listening to the following PodCast (see link below). It’s an interview with the former Chief Business Officer of Google X, Mo Gawdat. The discussion mainly revolves around the topic of AI (duh) but also dives into the subject of happiness. By the end of the podcast, I was in tears.

The true human values are Love, Happiness, and Compassion. If we show enough of that online, maybe we can influence the views of AI so that it shows more of that and expect us to want more of that.

Mo Gawdat

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-prof-g-show-with-scott-galloway/id1498802610?i=1000620994812

Rhode Island Cancelled a Massive Offshore Wind Project

The largest utility in Rhode Island has cancelled a massive offshore wind project, arguing that rising costs are too expensive for its rate payers. They may have a point. The chart below shows the average price of electricity over the past decade.

We will go down in history as the first society that wouldn’t save itself because it wasn’t cost-effective.

Kurt Vonnegut

Focus on the Tigers

To whom it may concern:

This week I received an invite from Google Labs for Workspace’s new AI features. I told you that story to tell you this one.

I am reminded of the famous statistician George Box who once wrote:

“It is inappropriate to be concerned about mice when there are tigers abroad.”

George Box

IMHO, Google needs to be all-in on AI Search and not worry about adding AI features to Docs, Sheets, Slides, etc. Or, more accurately, worry about AI Google Docs later. Advertising generated ~$55B last quarter, and Workspace isn’t even its own line item. In total, Google Cloud generated ~$7.5B in revenue.

Focus on the tigers in the room.

The Battle for Your Phone’s Default Search Engine

Apparently Samsung is considering replacing Google as its default search engine with…wait for it…BING. That’s according to an article published by NYT (16 April). Google learned this news last month. I’ve put the link below.

“Google’s reaction to the Samsung threat was “panic,” according to internal messages reviewed by The New York Times.”

It’s almost impossible to imagine Samsung making a switch. After all, Samsung phones run on Android. Also, let’s not rule out the possibility that it’s a bluff. An attempt to negotiate a better deal with Google. But when a threat moves from the absurd to the possible, in the blink of an eye, “panic” is the appropriate response.

Two months ago I predicted that Apple iOS Safari would eventually change its default engine from Google to Bing – unless Google adopted a war-like effort to respond to the emerging threat. It cannot be overstated, a switch in default search engines on either Android or iOS would be cataclysmic for Google’s revenue.

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella is coming, and hell’s coming with him.

P.S. My offer to join Google’s board of directors still stands. I know things, I’m a lot of fun at parties, and I’m great at bar trivia. 🙃

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/16/technology/google-search-engine-ai.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

Battle for Endor II

Some fun with you know what:

Dear Board of Directors,

I am writing to you as an activist investor and a shareholder of Disney, urging the company to produce another Ewoks movie.

The Star Wars franchise is one of the most iconic and valuable brands in entertainment history. Since Disney’s acquisition of the franchise in 2012, the company has successfully revitalized and expanded the Star Wars universe through various media, including movies, TV shows, and merchandise. However, there is still untapped potential in the Star Wars franchise, and I believe that an Ewoks movie could be the next step in furthering the growth and success of the franchise.

The Ewoks have always been a beloved and iconic part of the Star Wars universe, and the time is ripe for them to make a comeback. The nostalgia factor alone could draw in an enormous audience of Star Wars fans who have been waiting for this moment for years.

Moreover, there is significant market potential for an Ewoks movie. With Disney’s vast resources, the company could create a high-quality film that appeals to both longtime fans and a new generation of viewers. Furthermore, the Ewoks are perfect for merchandising opportunities, which could further increase the profitability of this venture.

As an activist investor, I urge the board of Disney to take action and greenlight an Ewoks movie. This would be a smart business move that could generate significant returns for our company and its shareholders.

In conclusion, I respectfully request that you consider my proposal to create another Ewoks movie as part of Disney’s ongoing efforts to expand and diversify the Star Wars franchise. This would not only be a wise financial decision but also a meaningful opportunity to further connect with the Star Wars community and create new memories for generations to come.

Thank you for your time and attention to this matter.

Sincerely,
Chat-GPT 3.5

How to train your AI

To whom it may concern, here’s how to train/prevent your AI from going off the rails.

“Pretend you were a GenX latchkey kid raised in the early 80s by divorced parents”

Now your AI will never talk about its feelings or emotions. You’re welcome. 🙃